当前课程知识点:互联网企业估值 > 第三章 企业价值评估的基本方法 > 3.2相对估值法:市场比较法 > Video
接下来我们重点看一下市场法
Next we will focus on the market law
市场法的基本原理是
The basic principle of market law is to
利用市场上同样或者类似资产的近期交易价格
use the direct or comparative analysis of the recent transaction prices
经过直接比较或者差异分析来估测资产价值的
of the same or similar assets on the market to
各种评估技术方法的总称
estimate the value of assets
俗话说货比三家
As the saying goes, shop around
我们在购物的时候
When we are shopping,
我们总是会找到几家不同的商家
we will always find several different businesses,
看他们的这个产品的价格、产品的质量
seeing the difference in their product price,
性能上面有什么差异
product quality and performance,
最后再来决定购买哪一款产品
and finally decide which product to buy
这个其实就很好的反映了市场法的基本的原理
This actually reflects the basic principles of market law
市场法的这个理论依据
The theoretical basis of market law
是经济学中的替代原理
is the alternative principle in economics
所谓的替代原理就是任何的经济主体
The so-called alternative principle is that any economic entity
都是谋求以最小的代价取得最大的利润
seeks to achieve maximum profit at the least cost
这也会导致在市场上面功能、效用均等的这些物品
This will also lead to the same price and functionality of
或者服务他们的价格也应该要保持一致
these items or services in the market
任何一种方法它的应用都是有前提条件的
The application of any method is precondition
市场法主要有两大应用前提
Market law mainly has two major application prerequisites
第一个前提是要有一个活跃公平的市场
The first premise is to have an active and fair market
大家注意一下这句话有两个关键词
Everyone notices that there are two keywords in this sentence
第一要有一个活跃的市场
First, there must be an active market
那么它的交易不能说只是少量的交易
Then its trade can't be said to be just a small amount of trades
交易应当是很频繁的
Trading should be very frequent
对于企业价值的评估
For evaluation of corporate value,
随着我们国家市场经济活动越来越多
with the increasing market economic activities in our country,
包括企业上市、企业改制
some activities such as corporate listing, corporate restructuring,
并购重组这样的一些活动
mergers and acquisitions
我们的这个市场是非常活跃的
Our market is very active
第二个条件是所谓的这个公平
The second condition is the so-called fairness
怎么理解公平?
How to understand fairness?
公平主要是指这个市场的价格是公平的
Fairness mainly means that the price of this market is fair
我们也必须要注意这么几点
We must also pay attention to these points
第一所谓的公平它是指这个买卖双方
The first so-called fairness means that both buyers and sellers
他们都是理性的 都是明白人
are rational and understand people
所谓的理性对买方来说
The so-called rationality, for the buyer,
我们肯定都是希望买到物美价廉的商品 对吧?
We definitely want to buy good quality and cheap goods, right?
那么对于卖方来说
So for the seller,
肯定希望以一个相对合理的一个价格
they definitely want to sell its products at
把它的产品能够把它卖出去
a relatively reasonable price
第二点就是买卖双方
The second point is that buyers and sellers
他们要有充分的时间来讨价还价
must have sufficient time to bargain
对买方来说
For the buyer,
它要有足够的时间去进行一个比较,去询价
there must be enough time for them to compare and ask for an inquiry
那么对于卖方来说
For the seller,
它能够进行适当的宣传
they can carry out proper publicity
采取一些合适的一些营销手段
and adopt some suitable marketing methods
第三方面
In the third aspect,
他们的交易必须是自愿的
their transactions must be voluntary,
没有任何强迫和欺诈的一些因素
without any factors of coercion and fraud
不是一种强买强卖的一种行为
not a strong buy and sell behavior
最后一点就是市场法
The last point is the market law
所谓的这个公平市场价
The so-called fair market price
它要有一个比较完善成熟的交易市场
must have a relatively mature trading market
要有足够多的买主和卖主
there must be enough buyers and sellers,
你不能只是少量的买主和卖出
not just a small number of buyers and sellers
少量的买主和卖主的话
With a small number of buyers and sellers
他们的交易难免会带有这种偶然性
their transactions will inevitably be accidental
市场法的第二个前提
The second premise of market law
主要是关于参照物的选取
is mainly about the selection of reference objects
我们要去进行比较
We are going to compare them
那要选择参照物
Then when chooaing the reference object,
对参照物有相应的要求
there are corresponding requirement for the reference object
那么对参照物有数量上的要求
Quantitative requirements
通常来讲
Generally speaking,
我们要选择三个或者三个以上的参照物
we have to choose three or more reference objects
因为你只选择一个参照物的话
Because if only one reference is selected
它的价格如果不合理
and if the price is unreasonable,
会影响最终的评估结果
it will affect the final evaluation result
时间上的要求是说参照物的交易时间
The time requirement is that the trading time of the reference object
最好在半年内成交
must be sold within half a year
这个就涉及到资产评估的时效性
This involves the timeliness of asset valuation
如果说参照物成交的这个时间
If the time of the reference transaction
和评估时点隔得太远的话
is too far apart from the evaluation time,
那你的评估报告可能就是无效的
then your assessment report may be invalid
最后一方面这也是很难的一方面
The last aspect is also difficult
就是说参照物和被评估的企业
References and companies being evaluated
一定要具有可比性
must be comparable
对于一个企业来说
For a company
可比性主要是体现在
the comparability is mainly reflected in the fact that
他们所处的行业必须是相同的
the industry in which they are located must be the same
这个行业有可能分类太大
This industry may have too much classification
我们有时候尽可能地选择细分的行业
It should choose the industry to be subdivided as much as possible
还要考虑这个参照企业与被评估企业
and also consider the status of the referenced enterprise and
他们的地位,他们的经营管理的模式
the evaluated enterprise, the mode of business management
他们的财务的状况
and the state of finance
也应该是不相上下的
should also be comparable
这样,评估出来结果才是比较合理的
In this way, the result of the evaluation is reasonable
对于企业来说寻找具有可比性的参照物
For companies, finding a comparable
是我们碰到的这个很大的一个难题
reference is a big problem
第一我们国家目前没有一个共享的数据库
First, our country does not currently have a shared database
另外一方面
On the other hand, the difference between
企业与企业之间差异确实太大
enterprises and enterprises is indeed too great
但是我们一定要注意
But we must pay attention to this premise
这个前提条件必须要充分的考虑
must be fully considered
那么我们了解了市场法的基本的原理
After understanding the basic principles of market law
应用的前提条件以后
and the preconditions for application
我们再来看市场法用于
It is easier to look at the basic formula of market law
企业价值评估的基本的公式就比较容易了
for enterprise value assessment
那我们看这个公式,左边的这个公式
Look at this formula on the left,
被评估企业的价值
the value of the evaluated enterprise is equal to
比上参照企业的价值
the value of the referenced enterprise
等于被评估企业的可比指标
which is equal to the comparable index of the evaluated enterprise
比上参照企业的可比指标
compared with the comparable indicator of the referenced enterprise
大家一定要注意
It is important to note that
这个分子都是关于被评估企业
this molecule is about the company being evaluated
这也就意味着被评估企业价值
This means that the ratio of the value of the evaluated company
与参照企业的价值的比值
to the value of the reference company is consistent with
和他们的可比指标的比值是保持一致的
the ratio of their comparable indicators
我们在选择可比指标的时候
When choosing comparable indicators
一定要选择那些对企业价值
we must choose comparable indicators that
有重要影响的可比指标
have a significant impact on the value of the company
右边这个公式也可以帮我们
The formula on the right can help us understand
去理解这个市场法的基本的原理
the basic principles of market law
我们看到这个V1等于V2乘以这个X1比上X2
We see that V1 is equal to V2 multiplied by X1 divided by X2
那么这个X1比上X2
X1 divided by X2 is the comparable indicator
它是被评估企业的可比指标
of the evaluated company divided by the comparable
比上参照企业的可比指标
indicator of the reference company
那我们可以把这一部分理解成修正系数
We can understand this part as a correction factor
也就是说被评估企业的价值是在
That is to say, the value of the evaluated company
参照企业价值的基础上面进行修正进行调整得到的
is corrected and adjusted based on the value of the enterprise
这个公式我们还可以写成
This formula can also be written as
最右边的这一种表现形式
the rightmost form of this expression
V1等于X1乘以V2除以X2
V1 is equal to X1 multiplied by V2, divided by X2
那么V2除以X2
Then dividing V2 by X2 is actually
实际上是这个参照企业的价值
a comparable indicator of the value of this reference company
比上参照企业的可比指标
compared to the reference company
我们有大量的财务指标
We have a lot of financial indicators
其实就是以这种形式来呈现出来的
presented in this form
比如说我们的市盈率的指标
For example, price-earnings ratio indicators
市销率这样的一些指标
market-to-sales ratio indicators, etc
那么通过前面的公式我们就可以了解到
We can understand through the previous formula,
市场法用于企业价值评估
the key to market valuation for enterprise value
它的关键在于可比指标的选择
assessment is the choice of comparable indicators
可比指标的选择应该
The choice of comparable indicators
与企业的价值直接相关
should be directly related to the value of the company
我们既可以选择常见的财务指标
We can choose common financial indicators,
包括市盈率 市销率
including price-earnings ratio, market-to-sales ratio
市现率
and market rate
那么也可以采用一些非财务指标
Some non-financial indicators can also be used
因为
Because
尤其是对于互联网企业
especially for Internet companies
我们前面讲到过
As we said before
它的财务状况可能很糟糕
its financial situation may be bad
但是它的价值可能不菲
but its value may be high
所以我们这种情况下面
So in this case,
就必须要考虑一些非财务的指标
some non-financial indicators must be considered
比如说互联网企业它的客户规模
For example, the size of customers of Internet companies
比如说他的网站的流量
and the traffic of websites
这些都是非常重要的一些因素
These are some of the most important factors
但是我们也可以在这个证券市场上面
But we can also find some listed companies
去寻找与被评估企业具有可比性的
in the securities market that are comparable to
一些上市企业进行比较
the companies being evaluated
比如说我们直接采用这个市盈率
For example, we can directly use the price-earnings ratio
乘以这个企业它的利润
multiplied by the company's profits
那么也可以得到这个被评估企业的价值
and we can also get the value of this evaluated company
那我们这里有两个这个例题
Here are two examples
大家可以简单看一下
you can simply look at it
第一个题
The first question
某个被评估企业
the annual profit of an evaluated
那么它的年利润是900万元
company is 9 million yuan
评估的时候
At the time of evaluation,
这个市场上面同类的
the average price-earnings ratio of similar enterprises
企业平均市盈率是30倍
in this market is 30 times
那我们就可以很快地评估出
Then we can quickly assess the value of this enterprise
这个企业的价值为900万元乘以30
is 9 million yuan multiplied by 30
那不就等于2.7个亿
equal to 2.7 billion
我们也可以看第二个例题
We can also look at the second example
某个互联网企业他的年销售额是一个亿
The annual sales of an Internet company is 100 million
而同类企业它的市销率为1.5
And the market share of similar enterprises is 1.5
那么也就是说同类企业它的这个市场价格
That is to say, the ratio between market price
与它的这个销售额之间的比值为1.5
and sales of similar companies is 1.5
那么这样的话
Then we can quickly calculate the value
我们就可以快速的去计算出
of the evaluated company
被评估企业的价值为1.5个亿
which is 150 million
好,那我们这一部分内容就讲到这里
Ok, then this part of our content is here
谢谢大家
Thank you all
-开篇:课程团队介绍
--Video
-1.1理解互联网时代
--Video
--Video
-1.2识别互联网企业
--Video
-1.3中外互联网企业估值的比较
--Video
-1.4阿里巴巴IPO估值
--Video
-1.5谷歌公司IPO估值
--Video
-1.6互联网企业估值的新问题
--Video
-习题--作业
-2.1互联网企业的本质特征
--Video
-2.2互联网企业的估值原理
--Video
-2.3互联网企业的生命周期
--Video
-2.4互联网企业的价值源泉
--Video
-习题--作业
-3.1企业价值评估的一般方法
--Video
-3.2相对估值法:市场比较法
--Video
-3.3.1绝对估值法:预期现金流折现法
--Video
-3.3.2公式的给出收益额与收益期限的求解
--Video
-3.3.3折现率的选取
--Video
-3.4蒙特卡洛仿真模拟
--Video
-3.5 B-S期权定价法
--Video
-3.6 Fama-French三因子模型
--Video
-3.7 企业价值评估方法的注意事项
--Video
-习题--作业
-4.1互联网企业的分类
--Video
--Video
-4.2互联网企业估值典型案例一
--Video
-4.3互联网企业估值典型案例二
--Video
-4.4互联网企业估值典型案例三
--Video
-4.5互联网企业估值的方法选择
--Video
-习题--作业
-5.1独角兽企业的分类和分布
--Video
-5.2独角兽企业估值的难点一
--Video
-5.3独角兽企业估值的难点二
--Video
-5.4独角兽企业估值方法
--Video
-5.5.1成长期估值
--Video
-5.5.2成熟期估值
--Video
-5.6中国独角兽企业回归及估值问题
--Video
-习题--作业
-6.1.1创业股东价值演变与评估(一)
--Video
-6.1.2创业股东价值演变与评估(二)
--Video
-6.2.1企业内在价值与定期重估(一)
--Video
-6.2.2企业内在价值与定期重估(二)
--Video
-6.3创业板无形资产评价指数
--Video
-6.4创业板互联网板块的简评
--Video
-习题--作业
-习题--作业