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你是我的小呀小苹果
(A man humming a song)
怎么爱你都不嫌多
(A man humming a song)
夫妻离婚协议中写入CPI
CPI is written into the divorce agreement
与时俱进
Wow, keep pace with the times
哎 妞妞爸
Hey, my dear
你过来看看这个新闻
come over and read this news
我要是早一点看到
If I read it earlier
说不定对小艾有用呢
it might be useful to Xiao Ai
妞妞爸 CPI 我好像听说过
My dear, I seem to have heard of CPI
不过不记得在哪里听说过了
But I can't remember where I’ve heard about it
有了它
With it
就可以让抚养费增加
you can increase the maintenance cost
CPI呀 我很熟悉
CPI, I am very familiar with it
要不要我给你上一课
Do you want me to give you a lesson
不过要报酬
but with pay
啊 报酬
Ah with pay
你不会要把吸尘器给我吧
Don't give me the vacuum cleaner and let me do the cleaning
等我打扫完 陪我去理发
No, just go with me to get a haircut after I finish cleaning
这个可以有吧
Okay
这个可以有
Okay
成交 耶
Great! Yeah
同学们 大家好
Hello everyone
欢迎回到轻松学统计的课堂
Welcome back to the Easy Learning Statistics Class
我是李老师
I am Teacher Li
从现在开始
From now on
我们就要和妞妞妈一起学习
we will learn about index
有关指数的知识
together with Niuniu’s mom
指数这个词
Are we familiar with
我们是不是觉得很熟悉呢
the term Index
那么大家能不能很快说几个
So can you tell some
熟悉的指数
common indexes quickly
居民消费价格指数
Consumer price index
对
yes
这是一个最常用的指数
this is the most commonly used index
股票价格指数
Stock price index
对的
yes
这是证券市场里边常用的
this is often used in the stock market
还有幸福指数
There is also the happiness index
空气污染指数
air pollution index
对
yes
这些都是我们在日常生活里边
all of these are the indexes
随处可见的指数
that we can see everywhere in our daily lives
还有口红指数
There is also lipstick index
榨菜指数
and mustard index
对
Yes
看来大家的知识面也挺宽的
It seems that everyone has a wide range of knowledge
这些都是在我们生活里边
These are the indexes that
可能会接触到的指数
might affect our daily lives
如果我说我们现在就处在一个
If I say that we are
指数的世界
in a world of indexes
大家是不是觉得有点夸张呢
Would you think I am exaggerating
让我们先动手
Now let's start
来做一个小小的调查吧
with a brief survey
和大家分享一下
To share with you
我国统计学界著名的学者
a well-known scholar in the statistical field in China
邱东教授在2009年3月的时候
Professor Qiu Dong,in March 2009
也曾经在百度里边进行过
also conducted an index search
指数的搜索
In Baidu
当时他搜索到4730万条指数
At that time his search result showed 47.3 million entries
有关的条目
related to the term index
当时邱老师形容
Professor Qiu said
感觉自己像被指数包围了一般
he felt like surrounded by indexes then
和指数有关的条目
Since then, the entries related to indexes
翻了一番都不止
have more than doubled
可见指数在我们日常生活中
We can see that index
应用之广
is widely used in our daily lives
那我们继续打开网页
Now we go to the search engine
往下搜索
and make a search on index
看看到底有哪一些指数呢
to see which indexes are there
各种听过的
Wow, all kinds of indexes
没听过的指数铺天盖地般
we've never heard of
向我们袭来
are presented overwhelmingly before us
有百度指数 搜狗指数
There are Baidu Index, Sogou Index
居民消费价格指数
Consumer Price Index
南昌空气质量指数
Air Quality Index in Nanchang
淘宝指数 微指数等等等等
Taobao Index, Micro Index and so on
同学们
Are not the indexes
这一阵指数雨
like raindrops pouring down
是不是淋的酣�淋漓呢
Quite a lot, right
这么多指数汇聚起来
With so many indexes
是不是若海若洋
an ocean of indexes can be formed
它们不但数目全 品种多
They are all kinds of indexes
林林总总 五花八门
so rich in variety
基本上覆盖了我们生活中的
covering almost all aspects
方方面面
of our lives
可见指数在我们现代社会中的
It can be seen that the index is quite widely used
应用是非常广泛的
in modern society
把它称之为指数化时代
It is not an exaggeration
也不为过
to call it an index era
所以在这个指数化的时代
So in this era of index
来学一点有关指数的基本理论知识
isn't it very necessary
是不是很有必要呢
to acquire some basic theoretical knowledge on index
接下来我们就来学习第一讲
Now, let's start the first lecture
指数的概念与分类
the concept and classification of index
首先我们来了解一下
First let's take a look at
指数的起源
the origin of index
指数是英国经济学家
Index is a statistical analysis method
沃恒首创的一种统计分析方法
originally created by Voughan, a British economist
在十六 十七世纪
In the 16th and 17th centuries
英国在争霸的过程中
Britain was confronted with many competitors
面临着许多强敌
In its competition to be the world leader
如拥有欧洲最强大陆军的法国
Its competitors include countries such as France, which had the strongest continental army in Europe
海上马车夫的荷兰
the Netherlands, which was called the coachman on the sea
和拥有无敌舰队的西班牙等等国家
and Spain, which had invincible fleets
这些国家中
Many of these countries
许多都比英国的块头要大
appeared to be stronger than Britain
实力看似很强
with seemingly very powerful national strength
因此英国人在争霸过程中
So in the competition to be the world leader
心中无底
the British people were not very confident
此时威廉・配第
At this time, Sir William Petty
写了一本政治算术
wrote a book named Political Arithmetick
首次系统地用数据来说明
which for the first time used data to illustrate
比较英国与其他国家的实力
the comparison of national strength between Britain and other countries
证明英国虽小却实力强劲
which proved that although Britain was small, it was strong
就像是浓雾笼罩中的一颗核桃
like a walnut in the thick fog
非常坚硬
it was still very hard
这一分析极大地提高了
His analysis greatly improved
英国王室和人民的士气
the morale of the British royal family and the people
认清了自己的实力
they recognized the country's strength
并先后取得了对法国
and won the wars against France
西班牙和荷兰的战争的胜利
Spain and the Netherlands
那么英国的实力体现在哪些方面呢
So what were the strengths of Britain
根据文献
According to literatures
关键的有以下两点
there are two key points
第一 英国非常重视教育
First, Britain attached great importance to education
人民受教育水平很高
People had high levels of education
为国家实力的增强和经济发展
which laid a good foundation for enhancing national strength
科技创新
economic development
奠定了良好的基础
and technological innovation
第二 科技水平非常发达
Second, Britain had advanced science and technology
生产力水平也比较高
and relatively high productivity
英国号称当时的世界工厂
Britain claimed to be the world's factory at that time
再加上广大的殖民地
plus a large number of colonies
因此在对外贸易中
so it always took a favorable position
始终处于有利的地位
in foreign trade
及出现顺差的机会大
that is, the country had more chances of surplus than deficit
而出现逆差的机会少
in its trading with other countries
这就导致某一时间内
This accelerated the speed
流入英国的黄金和白银的增长速度
of gold and silver flowing into Britain over a certain period of time
超过工农业生产的增长速度
and this speed increase exceeded the growth rate of industrial and agricultural production
由于黄金和白银
Because gold and silver
主要用于通货
were mainly used as currency
当时迫切需要一种方法
a method was urgently needed
来反映英国的物价变动
to reflect the price changes in Britain
1675年英国经济学家提出
In 1675, British economist Voughan put forward
指数的计算方法
the calculation method of index
他在铸货币和货币铸造论中
In his book Currency Casting and Theories of Currency Casting
为了测定当时劳资双方
in order to determine the ratio of currency exchange
对于货币交换的比例
between workers and capitalists at that time
以谷物 家畜 鱼类 布帛
he used grain, livestock, fish, cloth
皮革等作为重要的样本商品
leather and so on as important referential commodities
将1650年的价格
He compared
和1352年的价格
the prices in 1650
进行比较
with the prices in 1352
这就是物价指数计算的开端
This is the beginning of the price index calculation
了解完指数的起源
Now we know the origin of index
接下来我们了解一下
let's proceed to
指数的定义
the definition of index
从广义上讲
Broadly speaking
指数是反映现象数量变动的相对数
index is a relative number that reflects changes in the quantity of a phenomena
如2015年和2014年相比
For example, compared 2014 to 2015,we find that
我国棉花总产量的发展速度
the growth rate of China's total cotton output
为90.7%
is 90.7%
可以称棉花总产量指数为90.7%
We can say that the total cotton output index is 90.7% in 2015
狭义上来讲
In a narrow sense
指数是表明复杂现象总体
index is a relative number that indicates the comprehensive change
数量综合变动的相对数
in the quantity of a complex phenomenon population
这个定义比上面的定义
This definition sets more limitations
就多了一些限定
than the first definition
第一个限定是复杂现象总体
The first limitation is in "complex phenomenon population"
首先我们解释一下
Firstly, let me explain what is
什么是复杂现象总体
“complex phenomenon population”
所谓复杂现象总体
The so-called “complex phenomenon population”
是指那些由于各个部分
refers to those populations
性质不同而在研究其数量特征时
that cannot be directly summed or directly compared
不能直接进行加总
when studying their quantitative characteristics
或直接对比的总体
due to the different nature of each part
例如不同的产品或商品构成的总体
Take the populations of different products or commodities as an example
由于不同的使用价值
Due to different values in use
和不同的计量单位
and different units of measurement
因而在统计其实物产量
when calculating the actual production volume
销售量单位产品原材料消耗
sales, unit products, raw material consumption
单位成本 价格等数量方面的时候
unit costs, prices and so on
是不能直接进行加总的
they cannot be summed up directly
举一个小例子
Here is an example
我想大家都有在网上购物的经验
everyone has purchased online, right
打开某个网上商城
When log onto an online store
我们所看到的商品林林总总
we see a lot of commodities
有服装 有家用电器
There is clothing, household appliances
有化妆品有数码产品
cosmetics, digital products
有医疗保健品等等
health care products and so on
那这些商品
The value of use
它们的使用价值
and unit of measurement
以及它们的计量单位都不尽相同
of these commodities are different
它们所构成的总体
The population they constitute
就是一个复杂现象总体
Is a complex phenomenon population
离我们更近一点的例子是
Here is another example
财大购物广场中所销售的商品
The commodities sold in the Caida Shopping Plaza include
有毛巾 有牙膏
towels, toothpaste
还有衣服 包包以及文具等等
clothing, bags and stationery
这些商品所构成的
All these commodities
也是一个复杂现象总体
constitute a complex phenomenon
所以狭义的指数
So the narrow definition of index
对于现象总体做了一个界定
defined the phenomenon population
第二一个
Secondly
所谓的数量变动
the so-called quantity change
在狭义指数里边
in narrow index
主要是指
mainly refers to
不能直接相加的数量特征
the quantitative characteristics that cannot be added directly
比如销售量
such as sales volume
比如销售价格
and sales price
第三一个要注意的是
Thirdly, it should be noted that
我们在狭义的指数里边
the changes mentioned
所提到的变动
in narrow index
通常是指从基期到报告期
usually refer to changes during the time
反映时间的变动
from the base period to the given period
而广义的指数中
While for the broad index
既可以包括时间的变动
can include both changes
也可以包括空间的变动
in time and space
第四一个
Fourthly
这里的相对数
the relative number here
也就是仅仅指动态相对数了
only refers to the dynamic relative number
了解完指数的定义
Now we know definition of index
接下来我们来看一下
Next, let's take a look at
指数的分类
the classification of index
指数的分类有很多种
There are many ways to classify index
我们按不同的标准
According to different criteria
可以形成不同的分类
we can have different classifications
首先我们来看
First of all, let's take a look at
按照指数
the classification according to the range
所反映的范围不同
reflected by index
一般按照指数反映的范围不同
Generally, according to the range reflected by indexes
可以将指数分为
indexes can be divided into
个体指数和总指数
individual index and total index
个体指数是反映单一经济现象
Individual index is a relative number that reflects
数量变动的相对数
the quantity change of a single economic phenomenon
我们就拿天猫上面所销售的服装
Take the clothing sold on Tmall
来做一个例子
as an example
那服装是我们要了解的总体
Clothing is the population we need to know
服装打开以后
After getting searching results for clothing
我们还有接下来的分类
we see categories
比如有女装有男装
such as women's clothing and men's clothing
女装里边又分上装 下装
Women's clothing is further divided into tops and bottoms
上装里边又分春夏秋冬
Then tops are further divided into clothing for spring, summer, autumn and winter
对应的
Then
那么在冬装里边
in winter wear
我们又可以找到
there are woolen coats
毛呢大衣 羊毛衫等等
cardigans, etc.
一路往下面点击
We select the subcategories all the way down
最后我看中了某一件
and finally pick a fancy one
太平鸟女羊毛大衣
the Peacebird Bird wool coat
点击以后
By clicking the item name
我们来搜索有关它的信息
we search all items about it
假如我找到了基期的销售量
Suppose we found that the sales volume in the base period
q{\fs8}0{\r}是462件
q{\fs8}0{\r} is 462 pieces
报告期的销售量q{\fs8}1{\r}是154件
sales volume in the given period q{\fs8}1{\r} is 154 pieces
基期的销售价格是779元
sales price in the base period is CNY 779
报告期的价格
and price in the given period is
P{\fs8}1{\r}是789元
p{\fs8}1{\r} is CNY 789
对 这里我们说明一下
Here, please take a note
通常用小写的q代表数量
we usually use the lowercase q to represent quantity
小写的p代表价格
and the lowercase p to represent price
下标0代表基期
The subscript 0 corresponds to base period
下标1代表报告期
and subscript 1 corresponds to given period
那有了这些信息
With this information
我们就可以来了解
we now know
这一款女羊毛大衣
the fluctuations in the sales volume
它的销售量的波动情况
of this female wool coat
我们可以计算一个
We can figure out
个体的销售量指数
the individual sales volume index
(公式如上)
(formula as the above)
我们通常用小写的K(下标q)来代表
We usually use the lowercase k (subscript q)
个体的销售量指数
to represent individual sales volume index
它只要用报告期的销量
It is equal to sales volume in the given period
除以基期的销量
divided by the sales volume in the base period
把具体的数字
After plugging the specific values
代入进来
into the formula
我发现这一款女装
we found that for this women's dress
在报告期和基期相比是33.33%
the ratio of sales volume in given period to that of base period is 33.33%
说明它的销售量下降了
which indicates the sales volume has declined
再来看它的价格
Now let's take a look at the price
我们也同样可以采用个体销售
We can also use the method of
价格指数的方法
individual sales price index
来反映它的销售价格的变动
to reflect the changes in sales price
我们可以用(公式如上)
We can use (formula as the above)
来反映这一款女装
to reflect the fluctuations
在报告期和基期
of the sales price of this women's clothing
它的销售价格的波动情况
during the given period and the base period
小写的k{\fs8}p{\r}通常作为
The lowercase k{\fs8}p{\r} is often used to
个体销售价格指数的代表
represent individual sales price index
当然我们每一次的资料收集
Collection of data
都是从个体开始的
starts from individual data
最后我们需要把个体的指标
Finally, the individual indicators
汇聚成服装这一大类商品的
are aggregated into changes
价格或者是销售量的变动
in the price or sales volume of the major category of clothing
如果我们反映的是服装这一大类
If to reflect changes
商品的数量特征的变动
in the quantitative features of the major category of clothing
这个时候
then
计算的指数
the index calculated at this time
就可以被称之为总指数
can be called the total index
如销售量总指数
such as total sales volume index
如销售价格总指数
and total sales price index
我们通常用大写的(字符如上)
We usually use the uppercase (characters as the above)
作为销售量总指数的符号
as the symbol of the total sales volume index
通常用(字符如上)
and often use (characters as the above)
作为销售价格总指数的代表
to represent the total sales price index
这里大家可以先想一想
Here let's think about it first
刚才我们在计算
When we were calculating
个体销售量指数时候
the individual sales volume index just now
可以用(公式如上)来实现
we can use (formula as the above)
那这里我要计算(公式如上)
Here we are to calculate (formula as the above)
能不能通过(公式如上)来实现呢
Can this be achieved via (formula as the above)
按照我们刚才的分析
According to our analysis just now
销售量可以直接加总吗
can we add up the sales volume directly
我们知道它不能直接加总
No, they can't be added up directly
所以销售量总指数
So, the total sales volume index
思路上面是可以通过
can be ideally figured out via
报告期的总销售量
the total sales volume of the given period divided
除以基期的总销售量来实现
by the total sales volume of the base period
但是在计算上面
But actually
是不能通过(公式如上)来实现的
it cannot be figured out via (formula as the above)
因为它是一个复杂现象总体
Because it is a complex phenomenon population
那我们该怎么办呢
What should we do
稍候在指数的编制中
Later in the part of index compilation
会详细地向大家介绍
I will show you in detail on
如何来编制销售量总指数
how to compile the total sales volume index
和销售价格总指数
and the total sales price index
在总指数和个体指数之间
Between the total index and the individual index
还有若干的分类
there are many subcategories
比如男装女装 上装下装
such as men's clothing, women's clothing, tops, bottoms
春装秋装等等
spring wear, autumn wear and so on
那中间这些指数的分类
There is also a name for the classification
我们也有一个名称给它
of these indexes in the middle
通常把它们称之为类指数
which is usually called the class index
或者组指数
or group index
它们的性质和总指数类似
Their properties are similar to the total index
只不过范围比总指数来的更小
but their scope is smaller than the total index
这是指数的第一种分类方法
This is the first method to classify index
第二 按照指标性质的不同
Second, according to the nature of their indicators
我们通常会将指数分成
indexes are usually divided into
数量指标指数
quantitative indicator index
和质量指标指数
and quality indicator index
我们先来回忆一下
Let's first recall
前面学过的内容
what we have learned earlier
在第一章的时候
In the first chapter
就曾经向大家介绍过
we have discussed
指标的分类
the classification of indicators
我们知道指标可以分成
We know that indicators can be divided into
数量指标和质量指标
quantitative indicators and quality indicators
还记得数量指标是反映什么吗
Do you remember what quantitative indicators reflect
质量指标是反映什么吗
What about quality indicators
对
Yes
数量指标是反映总体的总规模
Quantitative indicators reflect such phenomena as the overall size
总量 总水平这一类现象的指标
total quantity and overall level of the population
而质量指标是反映总体的
while quality indicators reflect
相对水平 平均水平等
the overall relative level, average level
质量特征的指标
and other quality characteristics of the population
那如果我们计算的指数
If the index we are to calculate
是反映数量指标的变动
reflects the changes of a quantitative indicator
我们就把它称之为数量指标指数
we will then call it a quantitative index
如果我们计算的指数
If the index we are to calculate
是反映质量指标的数量的变动
reflects the quantitative changes of a quality indicator
我们就把它称之为
then we will call it
质量指标指数
a quality index
下面我来说一些指标的名称
Next, I am going to give the names of some indicators
请大家来判断
Please determine
它们哪些是数量指标
which are quantitative indicators
哪些是质量指标
and which are quality indicators
听好了
Listen
销售额
Sales revenue
总成本
total cost
收购额
purchase amount
总产值
total output value
产量
output volume
销售量
sales volume
收购量
and purchase volume
大家来想一想
Let's think about it
能不能把这些指标
Can you distinguish
哪些是数量指标
which of these indicators are quantitative indicators
和哪些是质量指标分清楚呢
and which are quality indicators
有的同学是不是已经看出来了
Some of you may have the answers
老师
Mrs. Li
你给我们的指标
all the indicators given
全部都是数量指标
are quantitative indicators
对的
Yes
说明我们对前面的指标的知识点
So you already have a solid knowledge
掌握的还挺牢固
on indicators
我给大家的指标
Actually, the indicators provided
其实全部都是数量指标
are all quantitative indicators
那这些数量指标
Are there any differences
有没有什么不同呢
between these quantitative indicators
有没有同学看出来呢
Does anyone know the answer
有观察仔细的同学
Some of you who have observed carefully
可能已经看出来了
may have found out
老师
Mrs. Li
你给我们的第一行的指标
the indicators in the first row
都是价值量计量的数量指标
are all quantitative indicators measuring values
你给我们的第二行的指标
while the ones in the second row
都是实物量计量的数量指标
are all quantitative indicators measuring physical quantity
对的
Correct
我分了两行来给大家这些指标
I have put these indicators in two rows
这些指标确实有差异
there are indeed differences between them
那我问一个问题
Then here is a question
销售额 收购额 总成本
For indicators such as
这一些指标
sales revenue, purchase amount and total cost
它们能直接求和吗
can they be added up directly
对
Yes
它们当然可以直接求和
Yes, of course they can be added up directly
它们都是用价值量计量的指标
They are all indicators measuring value
因此
So
按照我们刚才前面
according to the definition of complex phenomenon population
关于复杂现象总体的描述
we have discussed previously
它应该是不具有可加性的
it should not be additive
那这些数量指标
but these quantitative indicators
它是直接具有可加性的
are additive
因此在计算指数的时候
when calculating the index
这些指标
these indexes
我们把它单独称为总变动指数
are particularly named as total change indexes
它并不属于数量指标指数的范畴
Total change index does not belong to the category of quantitative index
因此我们一般所指的数量指标指数
Therefore, what is generally referred to as the quantity index
仅仅是指以实物量计量的
is only the quantity index
数量指标指数
measuring physical quantities
所以这里特意给大家做一个区分
So let's make a distinction here
而常见的质量指标
The common quality indicators
一般有价格 平均工资
generally include price, average salary
单位成本等等
unit cost, etc.
相对来说比较容易区分
which are relatively easy to distinguish
当然数量指标和质量指标的划分
Of course, the division of quantitative indicators and quality indicators
也是具有相对性的
is a relative division
例如 在计算应纳税额的时候
For example, when calculating the taxable amount
应纳税额等于
the taxable amount
销售量乘以销售价格乘以税率
is equal to sales volume times sales price and then times tax rate
销售价格相对于产品的销售量来讲
Relative to sales volume of the product
它是质量指标
sales price is a quality indicator
但是相对于税率来讲
while relative to tax rate,
它又属于数量指标了
it is also a quantitative indicator
因此数量指标和质量指标的划分
So, the distinction of quantitative indicators and quality indicators
是要在整个系统里边
should be put
来考虑的
in the entire system
这是第二种分类
This is the second method to classify index
第三种分类则是在一个
Now let's proceed with the third method of index classification
指数数列里边
In the time series of indexes
按照指数计算的基期不同
According to the base period used in calculating an index
可以将指数分为定基指数
An index can be classified as a fixed-base index
和环比指数
or a chain index
数列我们上一章刚刚学过
We have learned time series in the last chapter
一般是指按时间的先后顺序
It is a group of data
所形成的
in chronological order
那指数它既然是一个指标
Since index is an indicator
它也可以形成数列
we can also have time series of indexes
那在形成指数数列的时候
When working out the indexes to form a time series
如果每一个指数
if the base period
它们计算的基期都相同的话
of each index is the same
那么我们就把它称之为定基指数
then it is called a fixed-base index
如果每一个指数计算的时间
If the base period of each index
都是以报告期的前一期为基期的话
is the previous period of the given period
那么我们通常把它称之为环比指数
then it is called a chain index
我们可以来看一个例子
Here is an example
比如打开中国统计年鉴
When we open the China Statistical Yearbook
我们可以翻到有关指数的内容
we can turn to the part of index
在指数的内容里边
In the part of index
有一个指数的内容
the fixed-base index
就是定基指数
is expounded
目前我们国内的定基指数
At present, the fixed-base index of China
是以1978年为基期的
is calculated based on 1978
往下翻
and you can further turn to
也可以翻到环比指数
the part on chain index
环比指数的位置就有一个说明
The base period of chain index is the previous period of the given period
上一年等于100
The index of the previous year is set as 100
那上一年等于100就说明
The base period is changing constantly
它计算的时期是在不停地轮换的
in the calculation of index of each period
那么它就属于环比指数
So it is called chain index
好 同学们
Okay, everyone
第一讲的知识就到这里
Here is the end of this lecture
第二讲 我们接着学习指数的编制
In Lecture 2, we'll discuss index compilation
-1.1 Applications in Business and Economics
--1.1.1 Statistics application: everywhere 统计应用:无处不在
-1.2 Data、Data Sources
--1.2.1 History of Statistical Practice: A Long Road 统计实践史:漫漫长路
-1.3 Descriptive Statistics
--1.3.1 History of Statistics: Learn from others 统计学科史:博采众长
--1.3.2 Homework 课后习题
-1.4 Statistical Inference
--1.4.1 Basic research methods: statistical tools 基本研究方法:统计的利器
--1.4.2 Homework课后习题
--1.4.3 Basic concepts: the cornerstone of statistics 基本概念:统计的基石
--1.4.4 Homework 课后习题
-1.5 Unit test 第一单元测试题
-2.1Summarizing Qualitative Data
--2.1.1 Statistical investigation: the sharp edge of mining raw ore 统计调查:挖掘原矿的利刃
-2.2Frequency Distribution
--2.2.1 Scheme design: a prelude to statistical survey 方案设计:统计调查的前奏
-2.3Relative Frequency Distribution
--2.3.1 Homework 课后习题
-2.4Bar Graph
--2.4.1 Homework 课后习题
-2.6 Unit 2 test 第二单元测试题
-Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Methods
-3.1Measures of Location
--3.1.1 Statistics grouping: from original ecology to systematization 统计分组:从原生态到系统化
--3.1.2 Homework 课后习题
-3.2Mean、Median、Mode
--3.2.2 Homework 课后习题
-3.3Percentiles
--3.3 .1 Statistics chart: show the best partner for data 统计图表:展现数据最佳拍档
--3.3.2 Homework 课后习题
-3.4Quartiles
--3.4.1 Calculating the average (1): Full expression of central tendency 计算平均数(一):集中趋势之充分表达
--3.4.2 Homework 课后习题
-3.5Measures of Variability
--3.5.1 Calculating the average (2): Full expression of central tendency 计算平均数(二):集中趋势之充分表达
--3.5.2 Homework 课后习题
-3.6Range、Interquartile Range、A.D、Variance
--3.6.1 Position average: a robust expression of central tendency 1 位置平均数:集中趋势之稳健表达1
--3.6.2 Homework 课后习题
-3.7Standard Deviation
--3.7.1 Position average: a robust expression of central tendency 2 位置平均数:集中趋势之稳健表达2
-3.8Coefficient of Variation
-3.9 unit 3 test 第三单元测试题
-4.1 The horizontal of time series
--4.1.1 Time series (1): The past, present and future of the indicator 时间序列 (一) :指标的过去现在未来
--4.1.2 Homework 课后习题
--4.1.3 Time series (2): The past, present and future of indicators 时间序列 (二) :指标的过去现在未来
--4.1.4 Homework 课后习题
--4.1.5 Level analysis: the basis of time series analysis 水平分析:时间数列分析的基础
--4.1.6Homework 课后习题
-4.2 The speed analysis of time series
--4.2.1 Speed analysis: relative changes in time series 速度分析:时间数列的相对变动
--4.2.2 Homework 课后习题
-4.3 The calculation of the chronological average
--4.3.1 Average development speed: horizontal method and cumulative method 平均发展速度:水平法和累积法
--4.3.2 Homework 课后习题
-4.4 The calculation of average rate of development and increase
--4.4.1 Analysis of Component Factors: Finding the Truth 构成因素分析:抽丝剥茧寻真相
--4.4.2 Homework 课后习题
-4.5 The secular trend analysis of time series
--4.5.1 Long-term trend determination, smoothing method 长期趋势测定,修匀法
--4.5.2 Homework 课后习题
--4.5.3 Long-term trend determination: equation method 长期趋势测定:方程法
--4.5.4 Homework 课后习题
-4.6 The season fluctuation analysis of time series
--4.6.1 Seasonal change analysis: the same period average method 季节变动分析:同期平均法
-4.7 Unit 4 test 第四单元测试题
-5.1 The Conception and Type of Statistical Index
--5.1.1 Index overview: definition and classification 指数概览:定义与分类
-5.2 Aggregate Index
--5.2.1 Comprehensive index: first comprehensive and then compare 综合指数:先综合后对比
-5.4 Aggregate Index System
--5.4.1 Comprehensive Index System 综合指数体系
-5.5 Transformative Aggregate Index (Mean value index)
--5.5.1 Average index: compare first and then comprehensive (1) 平均数指数:先对比后综合(一)
--5.5.2 Average index: compare first and then comprehensive (2) 平均数指数:先对比后综合(二)
-5.6 Average target index
--5.6.1 Average index index: first average and then compare 平均指标指数:先平均后对比
-5.7 Multi-factor Index System
--5.7.1 CPI Past and Present CPI 前世今生
-5.8 Economic Index in Reality
--5.8.1 Stock Price Index: Big Family 股票价格指数:大家庭
-5.9 Unit 5 test 第五单元测试题
-Sampling and sampling distribution
-6.1The binomial distribution
--6.1.1 Sampling survey: definition and several groups of concepts 抽样调查:定义与几组概念
-6.2The geometric distribution
--6.2.1 Probability sampling: common organizational forms 概率抽样:常用组织形式
-6.3The t-distribution
--6.3.1 Non-probability sampling: commonly used sampling methods 非概率抽样:常用抽取方法
-6.4The normal distribution
--6.4.1 Common probability distributions: basic characterization of random variables 常见概率分布:随机变量的基本刻画
-6.5Using the normal table
--6.5.1 Sampling distribution: the cornerstone of sampling inference theory 抽样分布:抽样推断理论的基石
-6.9 Unit 6 test 第六单元测试题
-7.1Properties of point estimates: bias and variability
--7.1.1 Point estimation: methods and applications 点估计:方法与应用
-7.2Logic of confidence intervals
--7.2.1 Estimation: Selection and Evaluation 估计量:选择与评价
-7.3Meaning of confidence level
--7.3.1 Interval estimation: basic principles (1) 区间估计:基本原理(一)
--7.3.2 Interval estimation: basic principles (2) 区间估计:基本原理(二)
-7.4Confidence interval for a population proportion
--7.4.1 Interval estimation of the mean: large sample case 均值的区间估计:大样本情形
--7.4.2 Interval estimation of the mean: small sample case 均值的区间估计:小样本情形
-7.5Confidence interval for a population mean
--7.5.1 Interval estimation of the mean: small sample case 区间估计:总体比例和方差
-7.6Finding sample size
--7.6.1 Determination of sample size: a prelude to sampling (1) 样本容量的确定:抽样的前奏(一)
--7.6.2 Determination of sample size: a prelude to sampling (2) 样本容量的确定:抽样的前奏(二)
-7.7 Unit 7 Test 第七单元测试题
-8.1Forming hypotheses
--8.1.1 Hypothesis testing: proposing hypotheses 假设检验:提出假设
-8.2Logic of hypothesis testing
--8.2.1 Hypothesis testing: basic ideas 假设检验:基本思想
-8.3Type I and Type II errors
--8.3.1 Hypothesis testing: basic steps 假设检验:基本步骤
-8.4Test statistics and p-values 、Two-sided tests
--8.4.1 Example analysis: single population mean test 例题解析:单个总体均值检验
-8.5Hypothesis test for a population mean
--8.5.1 Analysis of examples of individual population proportion and variance test 例题分析 单个总体比例及方差检验
-8.6Hypothesis test for a population proportion
--8.6.1 P value: another test criterion P值:另一个检验准则
-8.7 Unit 8 test 第八单元测试题
-Correlation and regression analysis
-9.1Correlative relations
--9.1.1 Correlation analysis: exploring the connection of things 相关分析:初探事物联系
--9.1.2 Correlation coefficient: quantify the degree of correlation 相关系数:量化相关程度
-9.2The description of regression equation
--9.2.1 Regression Analysis: Application at a Glance 回归分析:应用一瞥
-9.3Fit the regression equation
--9.3.1 Regression analysis: equation establishment 回归分析:方程建立
-9.4Correlative relations of determination
--9.4.1 Regression analysis: basic ideas
--9.4.2 Regression analysis: coefficient estimation 回归分析:系数估计
-9.5The application of regression equation