当前课程知识点:Learn Statistics with Ease > Chapter 7 Confidence Intervals > 7.5Confidence interval for a population mean > 7.5.1 Interval estimation of the mean: small sample case 区间估计:总体比例和方差
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大家好
Hello, everyone
欢迎回到轻松学统计课堂
Welcome back to the Easy Learning Statistics Class
上一讲给大家介绍了
In the last lecture, we introduced you
单个总体均值的区间估计
the interval estimation of the mean of a single population
接下来为大家介绍
Now, we are going to introduce you
单个总体比例
interval estimation of
和方差的区间估计
the single population proportion and variance
首先我们来看
First let’s see
总体比例的区间估计
the interval estimation of population proportion
对总体比例P的区间估计
The interval estimation of population proportion P
在原理上
in principle,
和总体均值的区间估计
is the same with the interval estimation
是一样的
of population mean
在第三章的时候
In Chapter 3
我们介绍过总体比例这个指标
we talked about the indicator of the population proportion
它是用来表达
It is used to express
是非标志的平均数的
the mean of mark of yes or no
当我们的标志表现
When our mark performance
只能够用是和非来作答的时候
can only be answered with yes or no
我们可以通过特殊的计数处理
we can, by special counting processing,
赋值0和1给它
assign 0 and 1 to it
在这种情况下
In this case,
我们依然可以计算
we can still compute
它所对应的平均水平
its corresponding average level
也就是我们现在所提到的
or the population proportion
总体比例
we are mentioning
因此从这个角度上来讲
So from this angle
总体比例P本质上是一个均值
the population proportion P is essentially a mean
因此对于它的区间估计的原理
So it's interval estimation principles
和总体均值的估计的原理
are the same as those
是相同的
of the population mean estimation
回忆我们上一节讲的内容
Recall the content of our previous lecture
对总体均值的区间估计
For the interval estimate of the population mean
我们是要利用样本均值的
we use the sample distribution
抽样分布来完成整个过程的
of sample mean to complete the process
那如果我们现在
Now, if we want to do
要对总体比例P进行区间估计
the interval estimation of the total proportion P
同样要利用样本比例小写p的
we will also use the sampling distribution of
抽样分布来进行估计了
sample proportion p (lowercased)
那么样本比例
Then, what does the sampling distribution like
它所服从的抽样分布
that is obeyed by
又是什么样子的呢
sample proportion
我们仅仅讨论以下这种情形
We only discuss the form
样本比例所服从的
of sampling distribution obeyed by
抽样分布的形式
the sample proportion in the following case
如果n大于30
N is greater than 30,
也就是我们说的大样本情形
which is what we call the large sample case
另外如果np大于等于5
in addition, np is greater than or equal to 5
还有n(1-p)大于等于5
And n(1-p) is greater than or equal to 5
那这里我有一个问题
So I have a question here
想先问一下大家
I want to ask you first
大家能告诉我
Can you tell me
n乘以p是代表什么吗
what does n times p mean
大家会不会
Are you thinking
还在想这个是不是均值呢
it is a mean
还是什么意思呢
or something else
其实回到p的算法
When we go back to the algorithm for p
很快我们可以
we’ll soon know
了解np是什么意思
what np means
因为我们在计算p的时候
Because when we compute p
用的是n{\fs10}1{\r}除以n来计算的
we divide n{\fs10}1{\r} by n
那个n{\fs10}1{\r}代表的
That n{\fs10}1{\r} represents
就是标志表现为
the number of units when the
是所代表的单位数了
mark performance is yes
所以n乘以p当然就还原到
So n times p definitely goes back to
标志表现为是所对应的单位数
the corresponding units when the mark performance is yes
那n乘以1-p
So n times 1-p
当然就是它的对立面了
is of course its opposite
就是标志表现为否
the number of units of the population when the
所对应的总体单位数
when the mark performance is no
那它们组合起来的意思
So what they mean together
就是大样本情形
is the big sample case
另外我的每一种标志
and for each of my mark
所对应的单位数都不少于5个
the corresponding number of units is no less than 5
也就是标志表现为是
That is, no matter whether the mark performance is yes
和标志表现为否
or no
所对应的单位数都不少于5个
the corresponding numbers of units are no less than 5
那么就满足了乘数
So that satisfies the premise for the discussion of
也就是样本比例抽样分布
the multiplier which is the sampling distribution of sample proportion
如果这三个条件同时满足了
If all three of these conditions are met,
那么样本比例近似地
so the sample proportion approximately
会服从正态分布
obeys a normal distribution
它所服从的正态分布两个参数
The two parameters of the normal distribution it obeys
当然对应还是均值
of course are mean
和它的方差
and its variance
这两个参数
The algorithm for the two parameters
它的算法依然类似于
are still similar to that of
均值的参数的算法
mean parameter
比如样本比例它的数学期望会等于多少呢
Let's say what will be the mathematical expectation
会等于多少呢
of sample proportion
当然要等于总体的比例了
Of course, it will be equal to the population proportion
对不对
Right
我们是利用样本比例
We're using sample proportions
去估计总体的比例
to estimate the proportion of the population
所以样本比例
So the sample proportion,
我们前面也提到它的数学期望
we also talked about its mathematical expectation,
是恰好等于总体的比例的
is just equal to the proportion of the population
那另外样本比例它所对应的
Then, what's the variance of the normal distribution
正态分布的方差是等于多少呢
of the sample proportion
通过抽样分布的基本原理我们知道
We know through the basic principles of the sampling distribution
样本平均数的方差
that the variance of the sample mean
它是等于除以根号n
is equal to σ over the square root of n
那样本比例本质上是一个均值
As the sample proportion is essentially an average
因此它的方差
its variance
它的标准差
its standard deviation
也会等于σ除以根号n
will also be equal to σ over the square root of n
只不过它的σ的算法比较特殊
It's just that the algorithm for σ is special
大家还记得
Do you remember
比例的方差的算法吗
the algorithm for the proportion variance
我想有的同学
I think some of you
可能已经想起来了
may have remembered
对 比例的方差的算法是
Yes, the algorithm for proportion variance is
(公式如上)
(The formula is as above)
那标准差对应的就等于
then, what corresponds to standard deviation is equal to
(公式如上)
(The formula is as above)
注意这个地方的P都是大写的
Notice the Ps here are all in capital letters
都是总体所对应的方差了
They are all variances corresponding to the population
那如果我们能够把样本比例
If we can write the form of
所服从的分布的形式
the distribution obeyed by
能够写出来
sample proportion
那这种情况下面
In this case,
我们就可以利用前面的
we can use the previous
区间估计的基本原理
basic principles of interval estimate
来计算总体比例的置信区间了
to compute the confidence interval for the population proportion
利用样本比例
By using the sampling distribution
所服从的抽样分布
obeyed by sample proportion,
我们就可以进一步来计算
we can further compute
它所对应的极限误差
its corresponding limiting error
我们这里用E
Here, we use E
小写的p组合来代表
and lowercased p combination to represent
样本比例所对应的极限误差
the limiting error corresponding to the sample proportion
Ep来代表
That’s Ep
由于它的抽样分布
Because its sampling distribution
仍然是一个正态分布
is still a normal distribution
那么我们所用的临界值
so our critical value
依然用(公式如上)来表达
is still expressed by (the formula as above)
那这个时候乘以(字符如上)
At this time, when multiplied by (character above)
(字符如上)代表的是样本比例的
(The character above) represents the standard deviation of
标准差
sample proportion
那样本比例的标准差
The standard deviation of sample proportion
刚才我们已经分析过
as we analyzed already,
它还是等于(公式如上)
is still equal to (the formula as above)
而此时的σ是等于
and then σ is equal to
(公式如上)
(the formula as above)
那所以在样本比例的
So in the process of interval estimate
区间估计过程里边
of sample proportion,
没有新的知识点
there is no new knowledge point
只是把我们原来的结论
We just promote the application
在此处进行了推广应用
of our original conclusion here
在我们刚才的式子里面
In the formula, we just wrote,
大P是等待着估计的总体参数
uppercased P is the population parameter waiting to be estimated
它的值一般都是不知道的
Its value is generally unknown
它不知道也就意味着
Being unknown means
总体的方差没有办法求解
there's no way to solve the variance of the population
所以我们一般会用样本的方差
So we usually use the variance of the sample
(公式如上)
(The formula as above)
来替代总体的方差
To replace the variance of the population
(公式如上)
(The formula as above)
对它做一个点估计
make a point estimate of it
如果进行了点估计
If point estimate is made
那么这个时候的极限误差的
then the uppercased P in the formula for
计算公式里边的大P
Limiting error
相应地就都要换成小p
need to be changed into lowercased p
因此极限误差的计算公式
So in the formula for calculating the limiting error
Ep就等于(公式如上)
Ep is equal to (the formula as above)
那总体比例的1-α的置信区间
The 1-α confidence interval of the population proportion
就可以通过下面
can be constructed by
这个式子来构造
the following formula
它的区间的下端点等于
The lower endpoint of its interval is equal to
(公式如上)
(The formula as above)
它的区间的上端点等于
The upper endpoint of its interval is equal to
(公式如上)
(The formula as above)
那在这个式子里边(公式如上)
So in this formula (as above),
仍然是标准正态分布
it is still the corresponding critical value
右侧尾部面积为(公式如上)时
of standard normal distribution
所对应的临界值
when the tail area of the right side is (the formula above)
这个我们前面已经分析过
We have analyzed this before and
不在啰嗦
will talk no more
好 接下来我们来看一个例子
Ok, let's look at an example
仍然使用ABSPC.xls中的数据
The data in abspc.xls will be still used
24寸是指拉杆箱的长加宽加高
24 inches mean that the sum of the length, width and height of the trolley case
三个数之和不大于135厘米
is not greater than 135 cm
这是飞机规定的
This is the size
标准登机拉杆箱的尺寸
of the standard trolley cases stipulated for planes
必须进行托运
that must be consigned
下页表格里边列出了
The table in the following page lists
大妞妈妈抽查的36只拉杆箱
the sum of the dimensions of length, width and height of
长宽高的尺寸之和
36 trolley cases sampled by the girl’s mother
试在95%的置信水平下
Under the 95% confidence level, try to estimate
估计总体中符合飞机规定的
the interval of the proportion of the trolley cases
标准登机拉杆箱尺寸的拉杆箱
meeting the standard trolley case size for plane boarding
所占比例的区间
in the population
那这就是一个总体比例
So this is an example of interval estimation
进行区间估计的例子
of population proportion
在这个表格里面
In this table,
我们根据ABSPC.xls
we use the data
里边的数据
in abspc.xls
对长宽高这三个尺寸
To perform summing of the three dimensions:
进行了求和
length, width and height
那么在这个表格里边
In this table,
我们可以观察一下
we can observe
超过了135厘米的拉杆箱
the trolley cases exceeding 135 cm
我已经用红色的字体
which have been marked
把它标出来了
in red
我们可以数一下
Let’s count them:
有1 2 3 4 5
1, 2, 3, 4 ,5
6 ,7, 8, 9 ,10
总共是有10个拉杆箱的长宽高
There are a total of 10 trolley cases
尺寸之和是超过了135厘米
whose length, width and height dimensions add up to more than 135 cm
也就是不符合飞机规定的
That is, they do not meet the size of
标准的登机拉杆箱的尺寸了
standard trolley cases for plane boarding
那我们就可以利用这些信息
We can use that information
来帮助我们去构造
to help us construct
刚才题目里边要的区间
the interval required in the problem
那首先依题意已知n=36
First, we know from the problem that n=36
是一个大样本的情形
which is a large sample case
那n乘以p也就是说
So n times p,
符合飞机规定的拉杆箱有26只
gives that 26 trolley cases are meeting the regulation for plane boarding
n(1-p)
Then n(1-p)
也就是我们说的
gives that there are 10 trolley cases
不符合飞机规定的
not meeting the regulation
标准尺寸有10只
For plane boarding
这两个数字都比5只要来得更大
both of the numbers are greater than 5
就符合我们
which conforms to the premise
刚才讨论的样本比例
For the normal distribution obeyed by
服从正态分布的前提条件
sample proportion we discussed just now
好 所以这三个条件出现了
Ok, as all three conditions are here
我们就可以判断样本比例
we can judge that the sample proportion
这一次一定会近似地
This time will be sure to approximately
服从正态分布的
obey a normal distribution
那1-α是等于95%
1-α is equal to 95%
由于样本比例服从正态分布
As the sample proportion is normally distributed
那我们就可以查临界值
so we can look up the critical value
(公式如上)等于1.96
which (formula above) is equal to 1.96
我们把这些信息先给它准备好
Let's get this information ready first
接下来第一步我们来计算
Next, we’ll compute
样本比例帮助我们获得
the sample proportion to help us
点估计值
get the point estimate
小p是等于(公式如上)
The lowercased p is equal (formula above)
等于26除以36
to 26 divided by 36
计算的结果是72.22%
The result is 72.22 %
第二步
Second step,
我们接下来计算极限误差
Let’s compute the limiting error
Ep等于(公式如上)
Ep is equal to (formula as above)
那p我们已经计算好了
the p has been computed, which
是72.22%
is 72.22%
接下来我们就只要代到
Then, we just substitute it
下面这个式子里边就可以
into the following formula
(公式如上)等于14.63%
The result (formula as above) is 14.63%
也就意味着我们的极限误差
That means our limiting error
达到了14.63%
reached 14.63%
相对来说
Relatively speaking,
还是一个比较大的误差
it's still a big error
好 有了这两个信息
Ok, with these two pieces of information
我们就可以构造
we can construct
总体比例的95%的置信区间
a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion
下限是72.22%-14.63%
The lower limit is 72.22% - 14.63%
等于57.59%
and equals 57.59%
上限是72.22%+14.63%
The upper limit is 72.22%+14.63%
等于86.85%
and equals to 86.85%
所以从整个
So the total
求解的步骤上面来看
steps of solution
和刚才前面的均值的估计
is not different from the previous
并没有不同
mean estimation
只不过在讨论样本比例的
only when we're talking about the sampling distribution
抽样分布的时候
of sample proportion,
它的附加条件更多一些而已
it has a few more additional conditions
这个地方大家要稍微注意一下
This is a place needing a little bit of attention
接下来我们把总体均值
Next, we are going to make a simple summary
和总体比例的区间估计的步骤
of the steps of interval estimate of the population mean
简单做一个总结
and population proportion
通过刚才前面的例题
Through the previous examples,
我们可以总结这几个步骤
we can summarize these steps
第一步是要点估计值
The first step is to do point estimate,
那我们要计算样本平均数
for which we need to compute the sample mean
或者是样本比例
or sample proportion
第二步
The second step is
我们是想获得抽样极限误差
to get the limiting error of the sampling
那通常在
Generally,
获得抽样极限误差之前
before getting the limiting error of sampling
我们会有一个过渡地计算
we need a transition computation
就是样本标准差
for the sample standard deviation
那当然这个地方
Of course, here
我还得提醒大家
I still want to remind you that
如果是样本均值情形下
when we compute the sample standard deviation
计算样本标准差的时候
in the case of sample mean,
一定记得做无偏性的调整
be sure to do unbiased adjustment
第三步
The third step is to
就可以利用抽样分布
use the sampling distribution
来计算抽样极限误差
to compute the limiting error of the sampling
第四步
The fourth step is to
根据点估计值和抽样极限误差
based on the point estimate and the sampling limit error
我们就可以构造总体均值
to construct the population mean
或者是总体比例的置信区间
or the confidence interval of the population proportion
那这四大步骤
These four steps, to
对于总体均值
the population mean
和总体比例来讲的话
and population proportion
都是通的
are applicable
这就是一个小小的总结
So much for the little summary
接下来我们要介绍
Next, we are going to introduce
总体方差的区间估计
interval estimation of population variance
我想通过前面的学习
I think, through the previous study
如果现在要我们来对
if we are going to do
单个总体方差
the interval estimate
去进行区间估计的话
for single population variance
我想大家基本上
you have had a basic understanding of
已经了解到它的步骤
its steps
还是要获得点估计值
We still need to get the estimate, and
以及获得区间的上限和下限
the upper limit and lower limit of the interval
这是一般的方法
That's the general approach
所以对于我们来讲
For us,
对于方差去进行区间估计
for the variance interval estimation,
步骤上和均值以及比例的
the steps are similar to those
过程有点类似
for mean and proportion
但是由于方差本身的特殊性
But because of the particularity of variance itself,
我们在构造它的区间的时候
when constructing its interval
还是和均值以及比例的估计
compared with the mean and proportion estimation
稍稍有一些不同
there is still a little difference
那我们考虑在正态总体里边
We need to consider the corresponding statistics
方差所对应的统计量
in the variance of a normal population
(公式如上)
(Formula as above)
这样的一个估计量
to consider such an estimate
那么这个估计量
This estimate
它是不依赖于任何未知参数
does not depend on any unknown parameters
都会服从
It will obey
自由度为n-1的卡方分布的
a chi-square distribution with n-1 degrees of freedom
这个我想前面
This was introduced
在抽样分布理论里边
in the sampling distribution
已经有介绍
theory
对于给定的置信度1-α
For a given degree of confidence of 1-α
我们注意到在卡方分布图里面
we notice that in the chi-square distribution
那卡方分布它是由
which is composed of
标准正态变量的平方和来构成的
the sum of the squares of the standard normal variables
因此所有卡方分布的值
So all the values of the chi-square distributions
都是大于0的
are greater than 0
卡方分布的图片
Pictures of chi square distribution
一般也是一个钟形分布
are generally of a bell-shaped distribution
不过它是一个偏态的钟形分布
But it's a skewed bell distribution
并且它的图形
and its graphs
都分布在第一象限里边
are all in the first quadrant
卡方分布的临界值的表达方法
The critical value of the chi-square distribution
一般情况下
is generally
是用下面的式子来表达的
expressed in terms of the following formula
(公式如上)
(Formula as above)
也就是说
That is,
当我们的卡方统计量的值
when the value of our chi-square statistic
大于(等于)临界值
is greater than or equal to the threshold
(公式如上)的时候
(Formula as above)
我们对应的右侧尾部面积
the corresponding right tail area
是等于(公式如上)
is equal to (formula as above)
那左侧的临界值的表达方式是
For the expression of the left side critical value
当我们的卡方统计量的值
When the value of our chi-square statistic
小于(等于)某个临界值
is less than (or equal to) a certain critical value
这个临界值的表达方式
the expression of such critical value
一般是(公式如上)
is generally (formula as above)
当我们这个卡方统计量的值
When the value of our chi-square statistic
小于(等于)这个临界值的时候
is less than (or equal to) this critical value
那么它左侧所对应的
its left side corresponding
尾部面积是(公式如上)
til area is (formula as above)
所以我们在卡方分布里边
So, in the chi-square distribution,
中间留出来的部分还是
the part in the middle is still 1-α
尾部两侧各分到(公式如上)
The tail of each side gets (formula above)
但是由于卡方分布的图形
But because the chi-square pattern
它不是对称的
is not symmetric
因此中间所对应的区域
so the corresponding zone in the middle
并不像前面的均值
is not a symmetrical interval as it is
和比例估计的时候
in the previous mean
是一个对称的区间
and proportion estimation
这个大家要注意一下
Please pay attention to it
而且它的临界值的表达方式
and the way its critical value is expressed
和前面的也略有差异
is a little different from the previous one
那么有了上面的这个铺垫
With the above information
我们就可以得到下面的式子
we can get the following formula
(公式如上)
(Formula as above)
当它落在这个区间里边的时候
When it falls in this interval,
它对应的概率等于1-α
its corresponding probability is 1-α
那有了这个式子
With this formula
我们就可以
we can
将它进行变形处理
Do deforming on it
得到总体方差的
to get the 1-α confidence interval
置信度为的置信区间
of the population variance
那么区间的下端点是
The lower endpoint of the interval is
(公式如上)
(Formula as above)
区间的上端点是
The upper endpoint of the interval is
(公式如上)
(Formula as above)
那(公式如上)平方的值
The value of (formula as above) squared
也可以通过查卡方分布表
can also be found by
来得到了
looking up the chi-square distribution table
如果已经得到方差的置信区间
If the confidence interval of variance has been obtained
将上限和下限相应地开根号
find the root of the upper limit and the lower limit correspondingly
就可以得到标准差的置信度
and you will get the confidence interval
为的置信区间
With the 1-α confidence degree of standard deviation
那这个方法我们不再重复
we're not going to repeat this method
因为前面我们在讲方差和标准差
as we already introduced previously
这一组概念的时候
when we talked about the concepts of variance and
也有介绍到
standard deviation
好 接下来我们来看一个例子
Ok, let’s look at an example
仍然延用
We’ll continue to use
这一讲例一里面的数据
the data in the first example in this lecture
这一次我们来帮大妞妈妈
This time, we’ll help the girl's mother
了解24寸拉杆箱
to find the stability of the sum of length, width and height
长宽高尺寸之和的稳定性
Of 24-inch trolley cases
也就是要我们来构造
That is we are going to construct
24寸拉杆箱长宽高
the corresponding confidence interval of
尺寸之和的方差
the variance of the sum of length, width and height of
所对应的置信区间
24-inch trolley cases
假定这一次1-α等于95%
Let's say that this time, 1-α is equal to 95%
那么依题意
According to the problem meaning
我们已知n=36
we have known n=36
1-α=95%
1-α=95%
有了这两个信息
With this information
我们就可以通过卡方分布表
we can look up the corresponding critical value
来查到相应的临界值
in the chi-square distribution table
那接下来
Next,
我也教大家来查一下表
I'll show you how to look it up
请大家把教材准备好
Please get your textbooks ready
那大家拿到了教材以后
When you get the textbook
请翻到卡方分布临界值表
please turn to the critical vales table of chi-square distribution
这个附录
in the annex
那么在拿到翻到这个附录以后
After turning to this annex
我们仍然的是要先观察
we need to first observe
这个表格上面的图片
The picture in the table
在这个图片里边显示的
In this picture,
阴影部分的面积
the area of the shaded part
它这里用了α来表示
is expressed with α
它对应的数字
Its corresponding numbers
就在我们表格的第一行里面
are in the first line of the table
在我们这个例题里边
In our example
我们告诉了1-α是等于95%的
we told you that 1-α is equal to 95%
所以我们首先可以
So we can first
把右侧的临界值查出来
find the right side critical value
右侧的临界值所对应的
The area of the shaded part corresponding to
阴影部分的面积
the right side critical value
就应该是(公式如上)
should be (formula as above)
也就是0.025
0.025
所以我们需要
So we need to
找到0.025这一列
find the 0.025 column
那对应的自由度
The corresponding degrees of freedom
我们也知道是n-1
is known to be n=1
那么就是35
That is 35
我们在0.025这一列里边
We find, in the 0.025 column,
找到自由度为35的地方
the place where the degrees of freedom is 35
那么我们可以得到
Then, we can know
这个数字是53.203
the number is 53.203
同样的方法把左侧的临界值
Find out the left side critical value
给它找出来
by the same method
那左侧的临界值对应的
The area of the shaded part of
阴影部分的面积
the left side critical value
这一次就大了
is large this time
它应该等于1-2.5%
It should be equal to 1-2.5%
也就是0.975
That is 0.975
所以我们找到0.975这一列
So, we find the 0.975 column and
仍然找到自由度为35所对应的
find out the number corresponding to the 35 degrees of freedom
数字是20.569
is 20.569
所以这就是查卡方分布表临界值的方法
That's the method to look up the critical values
临界值的方法
in the chi-square distribution table
好 把这些信息准备好以后
OK, after getting ready the information,
接下来我们就可以来构造
we can construct
总体方差所对应的置信区间了
the confidence interval for the variance of the population
首先同样的要准备点估计值
First of all, again, you have to get the point estimate ready
也就是样本方差s平方
That is sample variance s squared
同样地
Similarly,
我们这里在算s平方的时候
in computing the s squared
用的是无偏估计量s平方
it is the unbiased s squared that should be used
好 所以是(公式如上)
So, it is (formula as above)
把例一中的数字代进来
Substitute the number in the first example
我们可以计算得到
We can know by computing that
s平方等于39.98
S squared is equal to 39.98
第二步
In the second step,
我们就直接计算区间的下限
we’ll directly compute the lower limit of the interval
那区间的下限是等于
The lower limit of the interval is equal to
(公式如上)
(Formula as above)
区间的上限是等于
The upper limit of the interval is equal to
(公式如上)
(Formula as above)
在我们已经计算好区间的下限
After the lower limit and upper limit of the interval
和区间的上限的情况下
have been computed,
那么方差的95%的置信区间其实就已经产生了
the 95% confidence interval for the variance
其实就已经产生了
is actually generated,
是从26.30到68.03这个区间
It goes from 26.30 to 68.03
如果将上限和下限开根号的话
If we take the root of the upper limit and the lower limit
那么我们就得到标准差的95%的
we’ll have a 95% confidence interval
置信区间为5.13到8.25
of the standard deviation
这个范围
which is between 5.13 and 8.25
这是总体方差的
This is the process of constructing the confidence interval
置信区间的构造的过程
of the variance of a population
我们看到
We can see that
它和均值以及比例的过程
the process of mean and proportion
还是稍有差异
is slightly different
这个原因就由于卡方分布
The reason for this is that the chi-square distribution
不是一个对称的分布所造成的
is not a symmetrical distribution
好 这就是关于总体比例
Ok, this is the content about
以及总体方差的
the interval estimate of
区间估计的内容
the population variance
到这里就全部地介绍完了
That's all
谢谢大家
Thank you
-1.1 Applications in Business and Economics
--1.1.1 Statistics application: everywhere 统计应用:无处不在
-1.2 Data、Data Sources
--1.2.1 History of Statistical Practice: A Long Road 统计实践史:漫漫长路
-1.3 Descriptive Statistics
--1.3.1 History of Statistics: Learn from others 统计学科史:博采众长
--1.3.2 Homework 课后习题
-1.4 Statistical Inference
--1.4.1 Basic research methods: statistical tools 基本研究方法:统计的利器
--1.4.2 Homework课后习题
--1.4.3 Basic concepts: the cornerstone of statistics 基本概念:统计的基石
--1.4.4 Homework 课后习题
-1.5 Unit test 第一单元测试题
-2.1Summarizing Qualitative Data
--2.1.1 Statistical investigation: the sharp edge of mining raw ore 统计调查:挖掘原矿的利刃
-2.2Frequency Distribution
--2.2.1 Scheme design: a prelude to statistical survey 方案设计:统计调查的前奏
-2.3Relative Frequency Distribution
--2.3.1 Homework 课后习题
-2.4Bar Graph
--2.4.1 Homework 课后习题
-2.6 Unit 2 test 第二单元测试题
-Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Methods
-3.1Measures of Location
--3.1.1 Statistics grouping: from original ecology to systematization 统计分组:从原生态到系统化
--3.1.2 Homework 课后习题
-3.2Mean、Median、Mode
--3.2.2 Homework 课后习题
-3.3Percentiles
--3.3 .1 Statistics chart: show the best partner for data 统计图表:展现数据最佳拍档
--3.3.2 Homework 课后习题
-3.4Quartiles
--3.4.1 Calculating the average (1): Full expression of central tendency 计算平均数(一):集中趋势之充分表达
--3.4.2 Homework 课后习题
-3.5Measures of Variability
--3.5.1 Calculating the average (2): Full expression of central tendency 计算平均数(二):集中趋势之充分表达
--3.5.2 Homework 课后习题
-3.6Range、Interquartile Range、A.D、Variance
--3.6.1 Position average: a robust expression of central tendency 1 位置平均数:集中趋势之稳健表达1
--3.6.2 Homework 课后习题
-3.7Standard Deviation
--3.7.1 Position average: a robust expression of central tendency 2 位置平均数:集中趋势之稳健表达2
-3.8Coefficient of Variation
-3.9 unit 3 test 第三单元测试题
-4.1 The horizontal of time series
--4.1.1 Time series (1): The past, present and future of the indicator 时间序列 (一) :指标的过去现在未来
--4.1.2 Homework 课后习题
--4.1.3 Time series (2): The past, present and future of indicators 时间序列 (二) :指标的过去现在未来
--4.1.4 Homework 课后习题
--4.1.5 Level analysis: the basis of time series analysis 水平分析:时间数列分析的基础
--4.1.6Homework 课后习题
-4.2 The speed analysis of time series
--4.2.1 Speed analysis: relative changes in time series 速度分析:时间数列的相对变动
--4.2.2 Homework 课后习题
-4.3 The calculation of the chronological average
--4.3.1 Average development speed: horizontal method and cumulative method 平均发展速度:水平法和累积法
--4.3.2 Homework 课后习题
-4.4 The calculation of average rate of development and increase
--4.4.1 Analysis of Component Factors: Finding the Truth 构成因素分析:抽丝剥茧寻真相
--4.4.2 Homework 课后习题
-4.5 The secular trend analysis of time series
--4.5.1 Long-term trend determination, smoothing method 长期趋势测定,修匀法
--4.5.2 Homework 课后习题
--4.5.3 Long-term trend determination: equation method 长期趋势测定:方程法
--4.5.4 Homework 课后习题
-4.6 The season fluctuation analysis of time series
--4.6.1 Seasonal change analysis: the same period average method 季节变动分析:同期平均法
-4.7 Unit 4 test 第四单元测试题
-5.1 The Conception and Type of Statistical Index
--5.1.1 Index overview: definition and classification 指数概览:定义与分类
-5.2 Aggregate Index
--5.2.1 Comprehensive index: first comprehensive and then compare 综合指数:先综合后对比
-5.4 Aggregate Index System
--5.4.1 Comprehensive Index System 综合指数体系
-5.5 Transformative Aggregate Index (Mean value index)
--5.5.1 Average index: compare first and then comprehensive (1) 平均数指数:先对比后综合(一)
--5.5.2 Average index: compare first and then comprehensive (2) 平均数指数:先对比后综合(二)
-5.6 Average target index
--5.6.1 Average index index: first average and then compare 平均指标指数:先平均后对比
-5.7 Multi-factor Index System
--5.7.1 CPI Past and Present CPI 前世今生
-5.8 Economic Index in Reality
--5.8.1 Stock Price Index: Big Family 股票价格指数:大家庭
-5.9 Unit 5 test 第五单元测试题
-Sampling and sampling distribution
-6.1The binomial distribution
--6.1.1 Sampling survey: definition and several groups of concepts 抽样调查:定义与几组概念
-6.2The geometric distribution
--6.2.1 Probability sampling: common organizational forms 概率抽样:常用组织形式
-6.3The t-distribution
--6.3.1 Non-probability sampling: commonly used sampling methods 非概率抽样:常用抽取方法
-6.4The normal distribution
--6.4.1 Common probability distributions: basic characterization of random variables 常见概率分布:随机变量的基本刻画
-6.5Using the normal table
--6.5.1 Sampling distribution: the cornerstone of sampling inference theory 抽样分布:抽样推断理论的基石
-6.9 Unit 6 test 第六单元测试题
-7.1Properties of point estimates: bias and variability
--7.1.1 Point estimation: methods and applications 点估计:方法与应用
-7.2Logic of confidence intervals
--7.2.1 Estimation: Selection and Evaluation 估计量:选择与评价
-7.3Meaning of confidence level
--7.3.1 Interval estimation: basic principles (1) 区间估计:基本原理(一)
--7.3.2 Interval estimation: basic principles (2) 区间估计:基本原理(二)
-7.4Confidence interval for a population proportion
--7.4.1 Interval estimation of the mean: large sample case 均值的区间估计:大样本情形
--7.4.2 Interval estimation of the mean: small sample case 均值的区间估计:小样本情形
-7.5Confidence interval for a population mean
--7.5.1 Interval estimation of the mean: small sample case 区间估计:总体比例和方差
-7.6Finding sample size
--7.6.1 Determination of sample size: a prelude to sampling (1) 样本容量的确定:抽样的前奏(一)
--7.6.2 Determination of sample size: a prelude to sampling (2) 样本容量的确定:抽样的前奏(二)
-7.7 Unit 7 Test 第七单元测试题
-8.1Forming hypotheses
--8.1.1 Hypothesis testing: proposing hypotheses 假设检验:提出假设
-8.2Logic of hypothesis testing
--8.2.1 Hypothesis testing: basic ideas 假设检验:基本思想
-8.3Type I and Type II errors
--8.3.1 Hypothesis testing: basic steps 假设检验:基本步骤
-8.4Test statistics and p-values 、Two-sided tests
--8.4.1 Example analysis: single population mean test 例题解析:单个总体均值检验
-8.5Hypothesis test for a population mean
--8.5.1 Analysis of examples of individual population proportion and variance test 例题分析 单个总体比例及方差检验
-8.6Hypothesis test for a population proportion
--8.6.1 P value: another test criterion P值:另一个检验准则
-8.7 Unit 8 test 第八单元测试题
-Correlation and regression analysis
-9.1Correlative relations
--9.1.1 Correlation analysis: exploring the connection of things 相关分析:初探事物联系
--9.1.2 Correlation coefficient: quantify the degree of correlation 相关系数:量化相关程度
-9.2The description of regression equation
--9.2.1 Regression Analysis: Application at a Glance 回归分析:应用一瞥
-9.3Fit the regression equation
--9.3.1 Regression analysis: equation establishment 回归分析:方程建立
-9.4Correlative relations of determination
--9.4.1 Regression analysis: basic ideas
--9.4.2 Regression analysis: coefficient estimation 回归分析:系数估计
-9.5The application of regression equation